Trading firm of richest crypto billionaire reveals buying ‘a lot more’ Bitcoin below $30K

Published at: July 21, 2021

Bitcoin’s (BTC) painful plunge below $30,000 on Tuesday turned into a so-called “buy the dip” opportunity for Alameda Research, a Hong Kong-based quantitative trading firm and liquidity solutions firm headed by FTX CEO and founder Sam Bankman-Fried.

Quantitative trader Sam Trabucco revealed late Tuesday that the company purchased Bitcoin during its latest price decline, adding that the company’s cautious strategy to go long BTC/USD surfaced out of at least three “recovery” catalysts: a potential end to the ongoing crypto FUD (China ban, Grayscale epic unlock, etc.), the stock market’s intraday recovery, and weaker long liquidations in the derivatives market.

“In my view, all these points [to] a similar (if vague) direction,” Trabucco wrote.

“News impact tends to revert? I’d expect crypto to rally more. Stock market *did* revert? I’d expect crypto to have reverted more, too. Liquidation moves usually revert? Same story.”

And all these led to Alameda doing what we do best -- buying a LOT more over the past day or so. This isn't quite "sell us all you want below $30k and fuck off" territory, but we're continuing to buy down here, because it really just seems like too much points that way. pic.twitter.com/8l01jJAnhZ

— Sam Trabucco (@AlamedaTrabucco) July 21, 2021

Panic-sell ahead? Opinions differ

The statements appeared as Bitcoin attempted a modest recovery above $30,000 on Wednesday. The cryptocurrency established an intraday high at $31,669 on the FTX exchange, which just raised a record $900 million. Later, the price corrected lower, albeit minimally, thus showcasing limited selling pressure near the said sessional peak.

Meanwhile, Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst with AvaTrade Ltd, highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience to recent bearish outlooks, with some earlier noting that a close below $30,000 would have the cryptocurrency move lower violently.

“In reality, that is not what we have seen,” the executive told Bloomberg. “The Bitcoin price has been stable, and we have not seen any panic selling.”

But Jeffrey Wang, head of Americas at crypto finance startup Amber Group, provided a cautious outlook. Speaking to Cointelegraph, the former Morgan Stanley executive said that Bitcoin continues to trade under the global risk-on influence, which may subject the cryptocurrency to further losses. He continued:

“With relatively calm price action, recently, short-term speculation and trading have waned somewhat. When we do see more volatile movements, expect more traders to show interest. But that could push the price down further if the risk backdrop remains weak.”

Edward Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at Oanda, also weighed negatively on the latest Bitcoin–Wall Street correlation. He noted that if the United States stock indexes enter into the “panic selling mode,” it would lead the flagship cryptocurrency lower in tandem.

“It is critical that the digital coin regains ground above the $30,000 level, as a significant breach could result in a massive technical selloff,” Moya wrote in a Tuesday note.

Related: $13K Bitcoin price predictions emerge with BTC falling below historic trendline

As for Alameda, Trabucco admitted that the company had realized downside risks in the Bitcoin market, but its latest accumulation spree has been focusing more on the cryptocurrency’s long-term outlook. He said:

“We do put on fairly big delta positions longish-term for a quant team, and I’ve been glad that it’s been this direction so frequently — bull markets are way more fun.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Tags
Related Posts
Bitcoin weekly outlook: Why a $50K-retest is likely ahead of Friday's US jobs data
The heavy selling in the U.S. dollar market at the end of last week assisted Bitcoin (BTC) to climb above $49,000. However, BTC struggled to extend its climb above $50,000, a psychological resistance level, as investors remained cautious about the Federal Reserve's taper timing. In detail, the Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered a mildly dovish outlook during his speech on Friday at the annual Jackson Hole symposium. At one point, he refrained from providing hints regarding when the Fed would start unwinding its $120 billion a month asset purchasing program. Powell noted that they would begin tapering sometime by the …
Bitcoin / Aug. 29, 2021
Bitcoin slides with S&P 500 as Fed signals tapering $120B monthly bond purchases
Bitcoin (BTC) prices briefly fell below $44,000 on Thursday as the United States Dollar strengthened after the U.S. Federal Reserve policy minutes revealed its intentions to limit its bond-purchasing program this year. Bitcoin risks $45,000 becoming new resistance The spot BTC/USD rate dropped 1.71% to a new week-to-date low of $43,955. The pair’s plunge appeared as a part of a technical correction that started after it had reached a three-month high of $48,176 on Saturday, following a 64.42% price rally. Bitcoin’s latest price decline also surfaced in line with a similar market bias on Wall Street. For instance, the benchmark …
Bitcoin / Aug. 19, 2021
Bitcoin may lose $30K price level if stocks tank, analysts warn
The ghost of stock market crash is back again to haunt Bitcoin (BTC). It happened last in March 2020. Back then, the prospect of the fast-spreading coronavirus pandemic led to lockdowns across developed and emerging economies. In turn, global stocks crashed in tandem, and Bitcoin lost half of its value in just two days. Meanwhile, the U.S .dollar index, or DXY, which represents the greenback's strength against a basket of top foreign currencies, has now climbed by 8.78% to 102.992, its highest level since January 2017. The huge inverse correlation showed that investors dumped their stocks and Bitcoin holdings and …
Bitcoin / June 19, 2021
Bitcoin price weekly outlook: BTC bulls await breakout above 50-day EMA
A four-day winning streak brought the Bitcoin (BTC) prices closer to testing its 50-day exponential moving average (~$35,115) as resistance. The wave, which was instrumental in strengthening Bitcoin's bullish bias across 2020 as support, flipped to become a resistance during the May 2021 sell-off. In doing so, it capped the cryptocurrency from extending its upside rebound moves many times. For instance, Bitcoin's drop from $56,900 to $30,000 in mid-May prompted bulls to buy the dip. As a result, the cryptocurrency shot back above $40,000 but found its bullish momentum exhausting right near the 50-day EMA. The scenario repeated multiple times …
Bitcoin / July 25, 2021
Historically accurate Bitcoin metric suggests BTC price has bottomed out
As the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to establish support at $37,000 on Tuesday, the recent $30,000 lows may have been the bottom, suggests one derivatives market indicator that has a history of accurately predicting BTC/USD cyclical lows following its bear cycles. The last time it predicted a bottom was on Nov. 1, following which the cost to purchase one Bitcoin surged from $13,771 to as high as $64,899 on Coinbase. Anatomy of a bullish indicator Dubbed as “rolling basis,” the indicator mathematically represents the relative difference between the price of the futures contract and the spot rate on …
Bitcoin / May 25, 2021