Cardano price fake-out? ADA's 45% rebound in two days could trap bulls

Published at: June 1, 2022

Cardano (ADA) price climbed from $0.48 on May 30 to as high as $0.68 on May 31—a 45% rally in less than 48 hours. But ADA/USD failed to extend its rally further upward and dropped by almost 13.75% from its weekly high.

ADA price: Ear market vibes

Cardano's price retreated sharply on June 1, giving up a portion of the gains secured in the previous two days. The question now arises whether the ADA/USD pair can extend its recovery trend, especially as it trades almost 80% below its September 2021 peak of $3.16.

Interestingly, the downside retracement began after ADA tested its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave in the chart below) as resistance. Also, the pair moved lower in tandem with a broader correction sentiment across riskier assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and the S&P 500 (SPX).

Now, the Cardano token risks a further price correction, according to the Digital Trend, a financial analysis contributor at SeekingAlpha, noting that ADA has seen sharp price rebounds in the past that turned into bull traps, adding:

"In March, we saw ADA go from south of $0.80 to over $1.24 in a couple of weeks. This, to me, looks like another fake-out."

Several fundamental factors also support a bearish outlook. On June 1, the Federal Reserve will begin unwinding its $9 trillion asset portfolio, likely creating more headwinds for risk-on assets, Cardano included.

1/16Today it begins.Quantitative Tightening.So what does it mean? Is it a straight down market? Do we know its all good if nothing bad happens the first day?How do you navigate this?

— Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth) (@adamscochran) June 1, 2022

"I don't think we know the impacts of QT [quantitative tightening] just yet, especially since we haven't done this slimming down of the balance sheet much in history," Dan Eye, the chief investment officer of Fort Pitt Capital Group, told Market Watch, adding that removing liquidity from the market would "affect multiples in valuations to some degree."

Cardano price paints bull pennant

From a technical perspective, Cardano could continue its recovery trend in June due to a bullish continuation pattern.

Related: Bitcoin’s recent gains have traders calling a bottom, but various metrics remain bearish

ADA has been consolidating inside what appears to be a "bull pennant," confirmed by the price fluctuating inside a triangle structure following a massive move upside, called "flagpole."

As a rule, a bull pennant resolves after the price breaks above its upper trendline and rises by as much as the flagpole's height.

In other words, a $0.77 bullish target in June, up more than 25% from June 1's price.

ADA/BTC sees a similar upside setup

ADA has been painting a similar bull pennant setup against Bitcoin, raising the chances of an uptrend for the ADA/BTC pair in June.

As a result, ADA/BTC's decisive breakout above the pennant's upper trendline could have it rise toward 0.00002355, up 23% from June 1's price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Tags
Markets
Altcoin Watch
Altcoin
Market Analysis
Bitcoin Analysis
Cardano
Tech Analysis
Cryptomarket
Federal Reserve
Interest Rates
Related Posts
Bottom ahead? Solana paints its first 'death cross' as SOL losses 50% in January
Solana (SOL) looks poised to paint its first “death cross” this week, raising fears that its ongoing selloff would continue further into February. Real selloff threat Notably, the SOL price's 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave) will eventually close below its 200-day EMA (the blue wave), signaling a bearish crossover, called death cross, that typically prompts traders to sell. The threat surfaces as SOL looks to close January at nearly a 50% loss — as of the month's final day, the Solana token was down by over 2.50% to nearly $91, compared to almost $180 at the …
Markets / Jan. 31, 2022
Terra's Anchor Protocol erases 'crypto winter' losses, ANC price rebounds 300% in a month
Anchor Protocol (ANC), a DeFi platform built on Terra blockchain protocol, rebounded nearly 300% in over a month after bottoming out near $1.26. ANC price went as high as $4.97 on the Bitfinex cryptocurrency exchange on March 3, 2022, breaking above the previous record peak near $4.50 established on Dec. 3 last year. In doing so, the Anchor Protocol also erased all the losses it had incurred during what some called "crypto winter" that started in Q4/2021 — against the prospects of the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes. ANC is the governance token of the Anchor Protocol's decentralized money market …
Decentralization / March 3, 2022
Cardano price risks 30% drop in Q2 despite a ‘major’ hard fork ahead
Cardano’s (ADA) price risks undergoing a severe correction in the next few months despite touting its blockchain network’s bolstering growth and a “major” hard fork event in June. Descending channel hints at ADA sell-off ahead ADA, which makes up about 1.75% of the total crypto market capitalization, has been trending lower since September 2021 inside a “descending channel” pattern that has successfully capped its multiple upside attempts, as illustrated in the chart below. The channel showed further strength as ADA broke above its upper trendline on March 27 only to reverse entirely in later sessions, showing a lack of conviction …
Markets / April 15, 2022
Is Cardano ready for a go at $1? June's hard fork FOMO lifts ADA price to weekly highs
Cardano (ADA) was among the best performers among the top cryptocurrencies on June 6 as traders assessed a key upgrade that promises to enhance its blockchain's smart contract capabilities. Vasil hard fork FOMO Dubbed "Vasil," the so-called hard fork event will tentatively take place on June 29, 2022. As a result of the euphoria surrounding this upgrade, traders have started speculating more on ADA's upside prospects, resulting in its better performance than other top-ranking digital assets. For instance, ADA's price rose by over 14% to $0.64 on June 6 compared to the 6% gains of its top rival, Ether (ETH), …
Markets / June 6, 2022
Avalanche nears key breakdown level that could sink AVAX price by another 65%
Avalanche (AVAX) gained 0.5% to reach over $31 on May 23 but AVAX price remains trapped inside a trading range that appears like a "bear pennant" structure. Avalanche could get buried technicals Bear pennants are bearish continuation patterns, i.e., they resolve after the price breaks out of them to the downside and then—as a rule of technical analysis—falls by as much as the height of the previous downtrend, also called "flagpole." AVAX is nearing a technical breakdown as its price moves toward the pennant's apex, i.e., the point where its upper and lower trendlines converge. This paints the bearish target …
Markets / May 23, 2022