Fantom's 5-week winning streak is in danger — Will FTM price lose 35%?

The price of Fantom (FTM) risks pulling back in February due to a growing divergence between its price and momentum in recent weeks.

FTM price rallies 230% after Cronje's 2023 roadmap

FTM price has grown by 230% in the past five weeks, currently trading at $0.61 on Feb. 5. The rally came as a part of a broader crypto market recovery but outperformed most top-ranking crypto assets due to the hype created by Andre Cronje.

Cronje is the co-founder and architect of Fantom's layer-1 blockchain. On Dec. 26, 2022, the developer released a letter discussing the goals and priorities for the Fantom ecosystem in 2023, including his intention to allow decentralized app developers to earn 15% of the network's revenue.

FTM pric has seen five weeks of gains in a row since Cronje's "letter to the Fantom Foundation team."

The FTM/USD looks ready to close the week ending Feb. 5 with at least a 25% profit, helped by Cronje's latest Twitter thread that gives 13 reasons why Fantom will be one of the best layer-1 blockchains in 2023. 

Fantom price technicals hint at correction ahead

Nevertheless, FTM's ongoing rally risks exhaustion due to a growing bearish divergence between its rising price and falling momentum.

On the daily chart, FTM/USD has formed higher highs since mid-January, while its relative strength index (RSI) has made lower highs. As a rule of technical analysis, such a discrepancy means that the upside momentum is slowing.

In addition, the RSI remains above 70, suggesting FTM is "overbought." It also hints about short-term bullish exhaustion and possible sideways or downward price action in the coming days.

Related: Crypto Quick Hits: 8 simple steps to multiple weekly winners

In result, FTM risks crashing toward $0.42, or 35% from current price levels, given the level's recent history as resistance. Moreover, a close below $0.42 would bring FTM's 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave) at $0.38 into view as the next downside target.

Overall, Fantom maintains its bullish bias as long as it remains above its 200-day EMA and the 50-day EMA (the red wave). 

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.